THEORETICAL MODELLING OF THE EPIDEMIC COVID-2019 IN AZERBAIJAN.

A mathematical model of the coronavirus COVID-2019 epidemic in Azerbaijan is proposed. Analysis of the proposed mathematical model shows that the dynamic behavior of the epidemic is quite sensitive to parameters (rate constant of stages), which reflect different measures against the epidemic. This fact suggests that the lifting of all restrictive measures can aggravate the situation with COVID-19 in the republic and one should not expect the complete disappearance of the Covid-19 coronavirus in Azerbaijan.Copyright © 2023 Ministry of Health. All rights reserved.